The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Slownenberg]

Doctor_MG said:

I think that Nintendo is going to ship more than they've predicted this FY due to TotK providing a rather unprecedented boost for a console in it's 7th year in addition to a new mainline 2D Mario game.

I think by March 2024 Switch will have shipped 141-142M consoles. I don't think we are going to hear much about a new console until the summer.

That said, they'd still need 18M more to reach 160M and, with the way consoles have been dropping like a cliff after their successors release, I don't think we are going to get that if Switch 2 launches in 2024. I think that it will sell just shy of 10M more after it's successor is announced/revealed

Yeah I think it will definitely hit 15m this fiscal year. So probably 141m by end of this fiscal year. Let's say another 6-8 months to sell before the successor launches, should be >145m by start of next gen if successor launches Fall 2024. 160m ain't happening, but 150m very much in the cards depending on Nintendo's strategy for Switch's post-life. Since next gen will presumably be priced at or right around OLED price, Nintendo is gonna need to start dropping the price of Switch if they intend it to keep selling past the launch of the successor. If they don't drop price Switch won't hit 150m, if they do it almost certainly will, but should remain behind PS2 and DS.