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firebush03 on 01 August 2023
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Soundwave said:

My guess is Nintendo will do this ... regular Switch model is phased out entirely in 2024, Switch OLED is dropped to $299.99 but production of this model is heavily reduced (like the PS4). Switch Lite remains at $199.99 with maybe things like Black Friday promos at $169.99 once a year.

They are going to want to push people into buying a Switch 2 instead rather than letting the existing Switch models really undercut that I think, like Switch 1 will be something that there's as a fall back option but not something Nintendo will push aggressively (same way Sony treats the PS4 hardware ... if you really want one, you can get one, but Sony is not really doing much to encourage it and trying to channel people to the PS5). 

Man, that's *way* too soon to be phasing out the original Switch model. If the next gen starts during the second half of 2024, then the Switch will have had around >15mil in its last true fiscal year according to this plan; this would be absurd for Nintendo to do. I believe that if they phase out one model, the rest go with it. I could certainly see 2025 or maybe 2026? But the console will be sold and produced by Nintendo for a while into the next console lifespan.

Also, I feel it would be rather counter-intuitive for Nintendo to put price cuts on their old software. If Nintendo doesn't want ppl purchasing Switch games (they wouldn't want this because then the Switch would start competing with Switch 2), then why sell the console at a loss? Only reason the PS4 was an exception was due to their PS5 shortage; they wanted to continue with software sales but lacked the capacity for hardware units.