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jason1637 said:
shikamaru317 said:

With this information we can get a fairly accurate estimate on Xbox's monthly gamepass revenue. Xbox had 25m Gamepass subs the last time they announced numbers, probably more than that now but we will stick with 25m for now.

  • 70-80% of 25m is 17.5-20m subs on Gamepass Ultimate, at $15 per month currently is $263-300m per month. With the price of Ultimate soon increasing to $17 a month, that will go up to $298-340m per month from Gamepass Ultimate.
  • 20-30% of 25m is 5-7.5m subs on Gamepass Console or Gamepass PC. At $10 per month currently that is $50-75m per month. The price for Gamepass console will soon increase to $11 per month, but since there is no way to know the console/PC split on this price tier, we can't just say they will be making $55-82.5m per month soon, because PC people will still be paying $10 while console will be paying $11.
  • Combined, we are soon looking at at least $350m per month in revenue for Xbox after the price increase (However, it is worth noting that not everyone pays for Gamepass, some use Xbox Rewards points to pay for it. Others meanwhile stock up on discounted yearly cards and such instead of paying the monthly fee, so the actual revenue for Gamepass is likely lower than $350m per month or $4.2b per year)

Also interesting that Xbox is considering locking ABK behind Ultimate just like EA Play. Looks like Ultimate is definitely the way to go for most people.

With more premium games coming day one and the usual business of gradually increasing subscription prices i wont be surprise dif MS can get away with charging $25 for XGU by the end of the generation.

Not yet but that will only happen if MS can consistently knock out bangers.  The problem with any sub is that anyone can sub for one month and drop it.  For a sub to work, the service must consistently churn out enough hits to make it worth it.  There is a balance betweeen what people feel is worth continue support and what is not, especially with most consumers already subscribing to other services.

I personally do not believe that MS will go to much above 15 for ultimate may be 17 at the most because charging the service to much this early would doom it from gaining the amount of subs needed to sustain it.  What MS really would want is everyone sub to Ultimate so putting all of ABK games into the top tier makes sense as they do need to differiate between the 3 levels.  

Personally I think it would have been a much better proposition if MS acquired Sega and did that instead of ABK.  I am trying hard to think of any particular game coming out from ABK that entice someone to get Ultimate who doesn't already subscribe. Its not like ABK current lineup of console games are that much.