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S.Peelman said:
Pyro as Bill said:

It's going to be bigger than Wii/PS4 guaranteed and it can beat DS/PS2 too.

It might not get the Titanfalls and Destinys but it's exceptionally well placed to get the next Minecraft/Rocket League.

'Casuals' who want more than touschscreen combined with portable AAA versions for the core. Add in local multiplayer on the go and you have a new cultural phenomena about to start.

Congrats on being exactly right.

Titanfall and Destiny lol. Are they even a thing anymore?

Thanks but I wouldn't say 'exactly right'. I definitely made some faulty assumptions to get to DS/PS2 levels. I thought CoD and GTA would make an appearance even if they were gimped. I assumed the price would be a lot lower by now and unifying libraries would result in bigger software output and the Virtual Console would've reached Wii already. I thought on the go local multiplayer would have kids playing FIFA and CoD in the wild to the same extent as Mario Kart DS did.

Most predictions were abysmal because their starting point was 20m (GC/WiiU) instead of the 3DS's 70-80m or they took 3DS as baseline and subtracted 40m because "handhelds are dying". The price shocked some people because they saw it as an overpriced handheld OR a last gen Nintendo home console instead of a $180 console AND a $120 handheld like the core Nintendo gamers did.

The theory that cazualz abandoned the Wii Fit gimmick to get their fix from fitness apps on their touchscreen phone can finally be laid to rest now that Switch Fit is at 15m+. I didn't think RFA and Switch Sports would be outsold by 3D Mario, Zelda and Smash though. I said Switch would have more 10m and 20m sellers than Wii-DS combined but massively underestimated how well they'd sell (wtf Animal Crossing?) and overestimated 3rd party contributions.

Myths debunked: Motion control is a fad, permanent decline, Wii was a fluke, handhelds are dying, Nintendo consoles are for cazualz, it's too early to predict.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!