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Shatts on 13 July 2023
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Norion said:
archbrix said:

If Switch 2 stumbles out of the gate and doesn't establish itself like many of us expect, then that changes the conversation.  Otherwise, it's highly unlikely in my opinion.

I don't see how the Switch 2 will cause enough of an impact since the PS5 will have sold 5-6m by the time it comes out and I can't see how it doesn't do another few million afterwards.

Even with a conservative 4.6m LTD by the end of this year an average of just 1m for the next 5 years is enough to beat the PS4 which seems easy unless the PS6 is a 2027 release.

Well the PS5 needs to outsell the PS4 by more than 3 million to pass the Wii. I don't think it can do that. The PS5 should be at its peak right now, but demand hasn't increased as much. I don't think any future software will drastically change the demand either. The only possibility is that the demand in China sees an increase and more units are sold to the grey market. It might outsell the PS4, but the 3 million difference seems very far away. 
Oh maybe you're only talking about PS5 selling more than the PS4.

Last edited by Shatts - on 13 July 2023