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Knowing Nintendo's strategy of finishing in-advance, you're probably not wrong. Nintendo has explicitly come out stating that there intentions at the moment are to hold off sequels and such for next gen (specifically referring to the M+R: SoH interview in which this business strategy was revealed). Will say that your depiction of the timeline is...um...dishonest would be putting it kindly. The Wii/WiiU era for Nintendo was certainly a stronger time for Mario than really any other point in the business' history; of course once they shift focus away from the casual appeal that comes with Mario, it's reasonable that said output level will drop to a level similar to that of their prior N64, GCN period. Nintendo has announced Mario Wonder for the Fall though, alongside what looks to be a sequel of Super Peach World or whatever that was called from the DS...at the very least, it seems we know that they've been working on building up the brand in new ways (which is great to see).