One issue is that solid data used to be a lot easier to acquire and discuss, before digital sales really took off. For example, it seems like each year NPD/Circana seems to give even less relevant information than the year before. It's not surprising to me that the Famitsu thread still gets activity, because that is one place where we still get solid data on a regular basis.
curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6
My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox