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I don't see it releasing in 2024 at all tbh maybe an announcement late in the year but the earliest is March 2025 imo, this time round I think a 3D Mario will launch with the system as the is no chance Zelda would be ready by then with MK9 shortly after and a selection of catch up third party titles that didn't release on the Switch for example Elden Ring GOTY, REmake titles etc... I think Metroid Prime 4 is now a Switch 2 game at this point and could be one of the holiday titles with a possibility of the next Xenoblade in the holidays like before.