| catofellow said: Nintendo said they would struggle to sell over 10 million units this fiscal year, likely because they are planning to announce the console successor this fiscal year. Especially considering the unit sales are as high as they are still. Nintendo realize an announcement of Switch successor will crater Switch sales. |
No they projected 15 million but said that might be a stretch. Biiiiig difference between 10 and 15 million. 10 million means successor is imminent, 15 million means system is still welling well but is getting late in its life. Plus they just sold 1.5 million in May, so sales are picking up from when they said 15 million would be hard to hit, and at least according to Japan numbers sales are still going great in June. Sales will of course slow back down, but considering current sales, plus a holiday season, plus Mario Wonder, 15 million seems very likely.
Anyway, as to the question of the thread, next gen first year titles (whether that is 2024 or 2025):
The two obvious ones are 3D Mario and MK9. Those have been the obvious launch games for next gen for a few years now. Prime 4 should be a launch period title if it turns out Nintendo moved it from being a Switch title to a next gen title so that is a pure maybe. I expect alongside 3D Mario on day 1 for them to do another little party game since Nintendo likes to do that though hopefully that quality of it will be more in line with Wii Sports rather than 1-2 Switch. That would do for a late year launch, obviously more games if its an early year launch. If the launch is 2025 then next mainline Pokemon game would be in the first year lineup since the Pokemon schedule has that coming holiday 2025.
Basically:
Most likely launches -
2024 (Fall launch): 3D Mario, little party game, MK9, Prime 4 if not already released
2025 (Spring launch): 3D Mario, little party game, MK9, Prime 4 if not already released, Pokemon mainline, one or more likely two (probably AA) titles that would fill in the space between the big launch period titles and the holiday Pokemon game. So this schedule could be something like 3D Mario and party game day 1 in March, MK9 in April, Prime 4 (if it didn't come out on Switch) maybe in May, AA game in July, AA game in October, Pokemon mainline in November.
Potential other/AA games in the 2025 schedule I could see being any of these: Yoshi, Kirby, Luigi's Mansion, a new IP, something that didn't come out on Switch like Star Fox or Kid Icarus, Paper Mario, maybe a new 2D Zelda or just Z:WW and/or Z:TP port.
