If Nintendo waits a long time for a Switch successor, what do you think will happen?

[zorg1000]

curl-6 said:

zorg1000 said:

While true that Nintendo sales are inconsistent, that’s due to major mistakes by Nintendo rather than fans needing convincing. From things like alienating 3rd parties by sticking with cartridges or chasing gimmicks nobody asked for, it’s been specific fuck ups that have hurt them.

As for PS/XB, I don’t agree at all. While there is a pretty consistent total sales for PS+XB consoles, the individual market share has varied widely. It went from 85/15 to 50/50 when Sony fucked up to 70/30 when Microsoft fucked up.

Besides that argument can be made for Nintendo as well, despite making a bunch of foolish decisions last generation, they were still able to sell ~90 million units of hardware between 3DS & Wii U.

As long as Nintendo doesn’t make any huge mistakes that alienate 3rd parties or focus on unwanted gimmicks that jack up the price or have frequent 1st party software droughts than I don’t think cross-gen titles will hurt them.

And I’m not saying all games need to be cross-gen, like let’s say Nintendo releases 8-10 1st party retail titles in it’s first 12 months with 3-4 of them being big made for the ground up exclusives and the other 5-6 being mid-level cross-gen titles and a couple updated Switch 1 ports.

That's the thing though, we can't assume Nintendo won't make any mistakes with Switch 2.

I'm not saying there can't be any crossgen games, just that a PS4-5 approach of almost everything being crossgen for the first two years wouldn't be the right fit for Nintendo's situation. Now that they only have one hardware line they have no backup, they can't afford to be lackadaisical.

If they make big mistakes that cause Switch 2 to be undesirable than it doesn’t matter if the games are exclusive or not, the device is failing regardless, but if they are cross-gen than at least the software will have a chance to sell to its full potential.

They do have a backup, it’s called Switch, if the successor fails than you can pivot back to Switch and treat the new device as an experiment or a revision and get to work on a new successor. If they abandon Switch 1 and Switch 2 fails than they are really fucked.