Russia and Ukraine flashpoint

[RolStoppable]

Ryuu96 said:

LOL. Idk what the fuck is going on but I'm loving it.

Genuinely, I don't know what the plan is here, everything you said is true, Prigozhin has been trashing Russian MoD for months now and never acted on it but accusing them of actually bombing Wagnerites is a huge accusation and the July 1st deadline looms near.

I love the drama, I think his video is staged but is he really going to go through with not signing the contract? Will Russia punish him if he doesn't? Idfk...But none of this hurts Ukraine and only hurts Russia so keep at it! Love the drama.

I haven't watched the video, so I can't say if it's staged or not. But it doesn't matter anyway; the whole war against Ukraine was based on lies, so why shouldn't it be a potential lie that brings Russia down from within?

Likewise, it won't matter if Prigozhin puts the blame exclusively on Shoigu and Gerasimov, but not Putin. By the looks of things, Putin trusts these two more than Prigozhin, so Putin will likely judge Prigozhin's actions as an attack on the leader himself and act accordingly.

On the frontline, the perception is different though. It wouldn't surprise me if a sizeable chunk of the Russian army joins Wagner, because there the question is one of life and death. If the current outlook for an individual is to die at the hands of the Ukrainians and NATO weapons with a high probability, then you might as well take the chance to turn against your own regime in hopes to survive this war. Wagner is more or less the only part of Russia's force that has had success in 2023 with the occupation of Bakhmut, so they can potentially be perceived as infinitely more competent than Shoigu and the others.