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I wonder how the whole Prigozhin issue will play out. On one hand, he has been getting more daring with each passing week since the ultimatum was set for private military companies to become underlings of the Russian defense ministery. But on the other hand, a lot of things he has said in the past didn't amount to more than rants filled with hyperbole in the aftermath, with no consequences being realized from his side, so he might just give in and sign the contract next week.

If he doesn't sign though, what options are there? If he can't keep his mouth shut, Russia might just arrest or assassinate him. Or he goes on the offensive with his PMC and cleans Russia from Shoigu, so a scenario where potentially a civil war arises. One that Wagner could have good chances in, because what Russian army is there left to defend the country? Highly doubtful that Prigozhin will go to Moscow though.

I can't forget about the other side. If Prigozhin doesn't sign, there may as well be nothing that happens, because Russia's officials themselves have kept lying and threatening throughout this war, with lots of threats turning out to be nothing but hot air. So the most likely thing to happen once the deadline has passed is absolutely no change other than Russia trying to frame Prigozhin as a mad man who has lost his senses in order to discredit him completely and keep the state-ordered propaganda going as usual.

EDIT: Just when I type all this, Ryuu submitted like six new posts, most of them on this very topic. LOL

Last edited by RolStoppable - on 23 June 2023

Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.