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siebensus4 said:

Switch is down 16 % compared to last year, which is less than we saw in 2022 (36 %).

2022 had Splatoon 3 and Pokémon Scarlet/Violet to come, though. I don't think that SMB Wonder and Super Mario RPG can push that much hardware. At the end of 2023 I expect Switch will be down at least 25 % y-o-y, which would be OK for its 7th year.

I think you're underestimating the power of 2D Mario coupled with the success of the movie.