| Soundwave said: Even if they hit 15 mill this fiscal year, which may or may not happen, it's not like they are likely to be able to maintain that for the following fiscal year. Sales for the Switch would be like what? 10-12 million the following fiscal year (no Zelda, no Mario movie in 2024)? It's pretty likely Switch 2 is 2024 as selling that range (sub 15 million) is somewhere Nintendo likely doesn't want to stay in and with only one hardware product line it isn't like the old days where like "well OK the Game Boy and SNES sales are slowing but we've got the N64 coming out to boost overall hardware sales". |
I can’t imagine many people are expecting anything other than a 2024 release at this point.
2023 seems off the table, there’s just no way they would forecast 15m if a successor was coming this fall and like you said, a 2025 release would be letting Switch sales get too low for comfort.
I think fall 2024 is when it will release, this gives Switch one more holiday all to itself and I assume they have a big Mario game coming (Nintendo would be stupid not to have a new Mario game to take advantage of the Mario Movie hype).
Announce Switch 2 around this time next year with a teaser trailer then around September have a presentation that goes over launch date, price, launch window titles, etc. and release it in November.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
