| Zippy6 said: The forecast of 15m for this Fiscal Year seems to put the idea of a new revision or a price cut out of the picture. 140.6m by March 2024. If the Switch 2 is coming in 2024 as I expect then it seems 160m would now be a tough ask. It'd likely be at around 145m shipped by September 2024 just before the successor launches. |
I agree with you on almost everything here, but do you really not expect 160m+ in this scenario?
Five million Switch's from April '24- September '24 is about a 195,000/week average. Applying just that average for the remaining two quarters puts Switch at 150m shipped by March of 2025, right around its 8th b-day. With Nintendo obviously planning big enough to expect a 15m fiscal '24 (which appears to be completely software driven) I would expect Switch to manage 10m fiscal next year, falling right in line with the aforementioned scenario.
I believe the 3DS sold ~9m or so after the Switch launched; what do you think Switch's final numbers will be?
