Farsala said: Again I find Nintendo's forecast as optimistic, but if they don't release any info about their next console it can be possible. |
Nintendo has really been pretty awful with their initial FY forecasts with the Switch. Covid year they massively underestimated but that's to be expected given the circumstances. The last 2 years in a row they forecasted higher then their actual results though.
Fiscal Year | Initial Forecast | Result |
FY23 | 21m | 17.97m |
FY22 | 25.5m | 23.06m |
FY21 | 19m | 28.83m |
FY20 | 18m | 21.03m |
FY19 | 20m | 16.95m |
FY18 | 10m | 15.05m |
So it's not outside the realms of possibility that Switch actually does less than 15m, or more. But I think we can take the forecast as evidence that Nintendo doesn't have anything big planned this FY that will boost hardware like a new revision.