March NPD (Circana) 2023 Thread + Predictions

[trunkswd]

Norion said:

trunkswd said:

With how good sales were a year ago for Xbox Series X|S I was thinking it could have done 70M-80M lifetime. With how sales are right now I see it more like 60M-70M. Starfield (And having decent Xbox Series X stock) will be the true test to how much a big AAA game can come for Xbox that isn't Halo, Gears, or Forza.

I thought it had a shot at reaching 70m before but now I think that's not possible unless Starfield impresses and they have a strong 2024 with various notable games like Hellblade 2 hitting the mark combined with the impact of Activision Blizzard games being on Game Pass. September this year till December next year is the last chance for the Xbox Series to end up being more than just a somewhat better Xbox One sales wise. 

It really does come down to Starfield. Sure Elder Scrolls 6 will likely be a bigger seller than Starfield, but that won't launch until close to the end of this generation at the earliest.