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Ryuu96 said:

-snip-

Kind of surprised by some of these results:

  • No is higher than yes for Fable? Why do people think we won't see Fable? This game has now been in development since 2017 if it was the first RPG the Playground RPG team worked on or 2018 if they cancelled their first RPG in favor of a new Fable, surely they can at least get an in-engine teaser out to us by June 2023, even if full-on gameplay isn't ready.
  • Surprised that more than a third think we won't see Contraband. It began development in 2019, 4 years ago, surely they have gameplay footage ready by now.
  • Kind of surprised nearly 2/3rds think Everwild will be a no-show. The leak that said it had been rebooted said that the new internal release goal was 2024. So if the goal for the show this year is next 18 months games instead of just next 12 months games, it should be there since next 18 months covers all of 2024, only way it would skip is if a. it has been delayed from 2024 to 2025 since that leak, or b. the summer show is once again next 12 months games only and Everwild is 2nd half 2024
  • The majority think inXile's game will be there and more people think inXile's game will be there than Fable, what in the world? inXile's Project Colbalt is said to be a AAA game, but inXile has yet to expand to AAA size after opening their larger studio, more than 2 years since the new studio opened LinkedIn has them at just 120 devs. The fact that they still haven't staffed up suggests to me that it is still in pre-production or early full production, meaning it is most likely a 2025 release and thus out of both a next 12 months and a next 18 months scenario for the show. Only way it is both AAA and a 2024 release imo is if they have an outside studio assisting them like The Initiative with Crystal Dynamics and Playground RPG team with Eidos Montreal. 
  • More people think Zenimax Online's Project Kestrel will be there than people who don't. This might be the most surprising result yet. Zenimax only opened their San Diego studio for Project Kestrel at the tail end of 2020, December 2020. On top of that, Kestrel is rumored to be either an MMO or an MMO-lite, and it is a new IP supposedly. Not only do new IP take longer to develop than games in existing franchises, but MMO's and MMO-lites tend to take 5 years or more to develop, which would suggest that Kestrel is a Holiday 2025 release at the earliest, quite possibly 2026, well outside of both a next 12 months and next 18 months scenario for the showcase.
Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 11 April 2023