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Chicho said:

I think it is still possible.  ~18 millions for this year is not out of the question yet and the tail could be longer than some people expect.

Switch has been 23% down YoY after the first 2 months. To reach 18 million it would now have to be only 3.9% down for the remaining 10 month period. I think that is very unlikely.

Steam Deck Fangirl, Series X appreciator, PlayStation Games freak, Switch 2 Beggar.

Console Launch Aligned Sales Charts

Famitsu Sales Database

VGChartz Monthly Sales Database