Farsala said:
2022 looks fine, maybe a bit smaller. Q1 is already predicted by Nintendo to be ~1m smaller this year. So maybe on that line Nintendo expects 80% of 2021, which would be 19m. So a 20% drop is fine. Everything beyond is optimistic. You basically think the NSW will be unaffected by old age. 2023 will have to have a strong revision for this to work for sure. But you predicting a significant revision is like me predicting 0 price cuts for life. I think a 2023 revision would entail a 2025 Switch 2, but who knows. |
Well I predicted 19m for CY 2022, and I was right on the money.
As for 2023 and beyond I didn't predict anything beyond saying Rol was optimistic, and I still hold that view. I also predicted no price cuts and no revisions, so still waiting on those to happen. I am not sure if I will find time to put out exact predictions, but maybe if I find some time.
