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Down on last year by 155k after 2 months and indications are March is going to be a very rough month for Xbox sales. My prediction of 11-12m is looking shaky now. The final quarter of the year is going to be make-or-break here. I expect the holidays will be up by a lot, but enough to get it above the 11m mark? I'm not sure about that. 10-11m the most popular choice looks the most likely to me now but if this poor early performance continues for another few months yet even that might be too high.