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There seems to be a very good chance he is convicted.

They have leaked that the indictment includes 34 counts.

When people talk about this investigation they hardly talk about the investigation itself.

In reality we don't even have a copy of the indictment so we don't know what's being charged.

What we do know is that falsification of business records is likely to be one of them. In NYC two misdemeanor convictions equal a felony charge.

We know that he had multiple business record falsifications just for the Stormy payments alone. Each record will likely become its own count.

So full stop we know he will be convicted and we know he is probably going to jail.

It's important to keep in mind that the hush money payments in and of themselves have nothing to do with his crime of business record falsification. He did not HAVE to break the law and use Trump Org to reimburse Cohen by claiming a payment for a non existent legal retainer. These are all self inflicted wounds and he is going to have to pay.

Mind you this is just the first of several civil and criminal proceedings he brought upon himself.