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curl-6 on 14 March 2023
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Soundwave said:
curl-6 said:

This October it will be 6 years since Mario Odyssey, ordinarily we would already have gotten the next 3D Mario, which makes me strongly suspect they're holding onto it as a first year game for the successor.

Mario Kart 9 should also be very far along by now if Nintendo have any common sense.

I am skeptical if Nintendo will want to entirely let go of their 120 million plus Switch userbase right away though, specially considering the 3DS saw support for a 2 years after the release of the Switch.

They are either sitting on a new 3D Mario for this fall because of the movie or holding it for the launch of Switch 2.

Mario Kart I think is the most important Nintendo IP, even eclipsing the Mario platformers at this point, MK9 (or 10 if you count Tour as 9) has to be deep into development right now unless Nintendo has lost their marbles. I would want that as early in the Switch 2's product cycle, even day 1 if possible (since you're not going to have a new Zelda). 

Even Animal Crossing and Smash Next, like I would want those to be in actual development by now, not just sitting around a table and discussing ideas. That should have already been what those teams were doing over the COVID pause.

The next Mario Kart is 100% a game that needs to happen in year 1 of the successor, it's the biggest no brainer, and they've had enough time to make it happen.

If the successor launches next year, it should also be viable to get the next Animal Crossing out in the first year. 

Throw in 3D Mario and you have a first year to rival Switch's 2017.