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gtotheunit91 said:

Gamers are HUNGRY for a new BGS game. New IP at that! I wouldn't be surprised if Starfield gets close, if not reaches, Hogwarts Legacy numbers on Steam alone. 

I definitely think Starfield could top both Hogwarts Legacy and Elden Ring on current player count on Steam. Fallout 4 is currently the 5th biggest singleplayer/primarily singleplayer game on Steam's concurrent player records, it has 472k peak concurrent vs 879k and 953k respectively for Hogwarts and Elden Ring, but Fallout 4 released in 2015, back then the Steam Userbase was significantly smaller than it is now, the peak concurrent users across all games was 8.4m in 2015, by 2021 Steam's peak concurrent users across all games was up to 25m. We don't know what the peak Steam daily active user figure was in 2015, but we know that peak DAU was up in 2017 to 33m, meaning it was less than 33m in 2015. By 2022, DAU was up to a peak of 62.6m. So all signs point to the Steam active userbase more than doubling since Fallout 4 released and peaked at 472k concurrent. Starfield topping Hogwarts and/or Elden Ring is not a sure thing, but it is a very strong possibility, especially if the game reviews well and is less buggy on release than past Bethesda games. Topping Cyberpunk for #1 singleplayer game on peak concurrent will be more difficult, as the cyberpunk peak wasn't obtained on launch, but more than a year later once the big patch and the anime dropped, so it had many millions of owners by that point to pull peak concurrent users from.