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Well, Starfield could move some consoles, and elder scrolls 6 definitely will move some. Also, getting to where the x is readily available should help too.

On the other hand, all of these games can be streamed without purchasing hardware. So, while there are probably a lot of people that pick up PS5 or switch as a secondary console, I don't think they are going to be as many to pick up an Xbox for secondary use. You can just stream the games. Streaming doesn't work well for everybody, but it does seem to work well for a whole lot of people. So, I think we're close to the point where following hardware sales numbers is pointless. One of the major players is directly and intentionally sabotaging their own hardware sales.