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gord352 said:
Zippy6 said:

Yeah it basically all comes down to how big the drop is this year and when the Switch successor is finally announced and released. Shipments will probably be somewhere in the 139m-141m range by April 2024. It will be close.

It's had a great run but the end is in sight and this is where I reckon the switch will end up at:
126mill by March 31st 2023
140mill by March 31st 2024 (Successor will launch in 2024)
150mill-ish by life end

I think it'll stop around the 150mill mark. It might squeak past it but it's got little chance of beating the DS/PS2 numbers which is what a lot of people were wondering including myself.

Personally, I think the Switch 2 will not release before 2025. That being said, I see the outcome somewhere like that (shipped numbers):

125mil end of March 2023
140mil end of March 2024
152mil end of March 2025 (Switch 2 will launch in 2025)
158mil end of March 2026
161mil end of March 2027
163mil. end of life