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Kyuu said:
Norion said:

The Switch forecast decrease is already making the poll results a bit funny.

Yeah no chance Switch is winning this.

Nintendo's FY 2022 forecast was 21 million Switch units. They revised down to 19 million, and now further down to 18 million.

Sony's FY 2022 forecast was 18 million, and they revised that up to 19 million. If both hit their forecasts, PS5 would win FY 2022, and in CY quarter 1 alone PS5 would lead by about 3 million units. This will not be close.

An interesting discussion is if the gap is gonna be closer to 5m or 10m. I expect the former but can't discount the possibility of the latter with how much sales are gonna explode.