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Next up is Nintendo Switch in our yearly outlook. Here are the previous years' numbers (VGC estimates):

2017: 13.12m
2018: 16.37m
2019: 19.33m
2020: 28.47m
2021: 24.35m
2022: 17.17m with three weeks left to go (sold 2.65m in the comparable timeframe in 2021)

What are your sell-through expectations for Nintendo Switch in 2023?

...

Previous year's poll:

Sell-through expectations for Switch in 2022?

Less than 14 million 46 5.22%
 
14.0 - 15.9 million 43 4.88%
 
16.0 - 17.9 million 53 6.02%
 
18.0 - 19.9 million 119 13.51%
 
20.0 - 21.9 million 267 30.31%
 
22.0 - 23.9 million 165 18.73%
 
24.0 - 25.9 million 98 11.12%
 
26.0 - 27.9 million 20 2.27%
 
28.0 - 30.0 million 17 1.93%
 
More than 30 million 53 6.02%
 
Total: 881

2022 will fall just short of the bracket that got the most votes, so to my recollection this marks the first time in any sales poll that the general consensus overestimated Switch.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.