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Slownenberg on 01 January 2023
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Fight-the-Streets said:
Slownenberg said:

Yeah. I mean I think Switch 2 is more like roughly 16-23 months away, but the point stands.

Nintendo COULD have done another revision during Switch's lifespan, but I don't see any reason they would at this point. Switch sales in 2023 are clearly going to slow down to significantly under 20m, and Switch is clearly moving into the late stages of its lifecycle. A successor should come out by end of 2024, and they already have a cheap model and a premium model, and there is no real reason for them to come out with a fourth model when there HW division is probably in the thick of working on a final design for the Switch 2 now.

The only new model that would even make sense at this point would be a Switch Home model which would be very easy to design as it'd just be a Switch console box, and it would be very cheap, certainly under $200, and could potentially bring in some new people to the Switch who don't care about portable. But it's just like it ain't worth it at this point. A Pro doesn't really make sense to put out anymore, it would have made sense in 2021 but not in 2023. Nintendo just needs to focus on completing the Switch library with a final round of great games over the next 12+ months, and then start manufacturing Switch 2 and get launch games ready for sometime later on in 2024.

I don't disagree, personally, I think Nintendo will essentially bring out the Switch 2 in 2025 but they won't call it a new generation. It will be fully backwards compatible and they will just count the sales to the current Switch generation. I really think Nintendo don't want to mess-up the generation jump this time, so they will just artificially prolong it by denying that's a new generation. The question is, wouldn't that kill sales by taking the excitement of a new generation? I don't think so, the sales curve of the New Switch will just be slower but steadier than if it would be a real generation change. It think for this generation change we shouldn't look back into history to find clues. The gaming industry has completely changed, new (sales-) parameters are born.

I don't think so.

Yes to the full backwards compatibility. That's a given. They'd be out of their minds stupid if they didn't do that. And maybe even in the marketing (like on the box) they say it plays Switch and Switch 2 games just to drive home the point that it is a continuation for the ya know like 140-150m Switches out there.

But in terms of trying to downplay a new generation I definitely don't think so. If they muddy the marketing waters by making people think its just an upgraded model of the Switch then casual gamers won't bother cuz they already have the Switch. Trying to downplay it to essentially a Switch 'Pro' would be a very bad idea when it is in fact no doubt going to be a vastly more capable system.

They will definitely show off that this it is a new much more powerful system that can handle more recent state of the art games and push graphics that the Switch couldn't dream about, but at the same time pushing the idea that it is just a continuation of the insanely popular Switch concept with the hybrid gameplay and full backwards compatibility.

It is very important that Nintendo makes it clear this is a brand new much more capable much more modern system, while also making it clear to the many millions of Switch owners that this is an easy no-brainer upgrade to the next-gen and all your physical and digital Switch games as well as all the NSO games of course are immediately playable on it.