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Kyuu on 09 December 2022
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Mandalore76 said:
yo33331 said:

They will. Last year original numbers when the weekly data came out were:

Switch: over 1.6M

PS5: over 800k

XBSX: over 850k

After half a year and numerous adjustments overtime they got to a total final of:

Switch: over 1.4M

PS5: 350k

XBSX: over 600k

So Switch got cut by 200k, PS5 by a whopping almost 500k and XBSX by decent ~ 250k. So this black friday week (as the last year's one) will probably get its final numbers by sometime of summer 2023, and close to the final ones by april/may 2023 (when the quorter report comes out). I think PS5 500k adjustment this year would be too big. However like the Switch and XBSX last year adjustments were around 200-250k I expect this year to be about the same. So I would't be surprised if by april/may or even the summer the black friday numbers you all see now are something like this:

Switch: 1.1M to 1.2M

XBSX: 1M to 1.1M

PS5: 800k to 900k

Other than that, yes, very good numbers indeed. Finally week with all three over 1M(which I think won't be the case after adjustments, but still).

VGChartz overtracked PS5 more than double the Switch or XBox Series that week last year?  That doesn't match up with the conspiracy theory that VGChartz purposely undertracks the PS5 for the sole purpose of making Sony look bad.

That's a rare instance though. It's much more frequent that VGC undertracks Playstation and overtracks Switch/Xbox, and yet part of the community forgets every time and takes the estimates at face value. It's not necessarily out of bias or expectations (that Xbox is more competitive this gen and therefore it's expected to eat at Playstation's marketshare), but there may be some things wrong with the extrapolation methods that need to be tweaked.

VGC's estimates for Xbox Series consoles even following the adjustments remain high when compared to other trackers like MediaCreate and AmpereAnalysis. All trackers are prone to miscaluclations since MS doesn't share meaningful data, but VGC tends to be optimistic about Xbox/Switch and pessimistic about PS, especially more recently. Again, bias isn't necessarily the reason. As a matter of fact, I'm 100% sure bias has nothing to do with it as the team responsible for tracking are neutral and awesome, but expectations probably do (Xbox eating marketshare, the unstoppable Switch, PS5 supply situation, etc).