mjk45 said:
And I'm just highlighting that the pessimism was there and like you said that 80 million had to go somewhere but at that time we had seen it shrink from around 220million to that 80 million figure so whether or not the Switch would stabilise that trend was up in the air. |
There was good reason to assume that the decline wouldn’t continue, at least in any major way, by looking at the software sales of longtime Nintendo IP vs the sales of casual Wii/DS era titles.
With the exception of 2D Mario & Mario Kart, most longtime Nintendo IP saw little decline from DS/Wii to 3DS/Wii U.
Games like Pokémon, Animal Crossing, Smash Bros, 3D Mario, Zelda, Fire Emblem, Kirby, etc remained relatively stable and in some instances saw growth while games like Wii Sports/Fit/Party, Nintendogs & Brain Training completely cratered.
This shows that Nintendo IP in general were not seeing a decline and it was just the expanded blue ocean audience from DS/Wii that left and any future decline would likely be minimal.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.