Looking like this deal is going to fall through unfortunately (fortunately for some). I don't think some of the forum people realize that leaves MS with what 55-60 billion of cash to burn. Subtracting a few for penalties.
Wonder what they could buy with 55 billion
Even though I’m not a fan of this Activision deal as I said right when it was announced (because I think that Microsoft could have spent 70m$ better, Actiblizz doesn’t have enough value for that price), I hope the deal goes through. Because it not going through will probably put the final nail in the coffin of any potential acquisitions by Microsoft. Not only Microsoft themselves would be less willing to acquire someone, fearing that they will get blocked once again, it will also create this narrative for FTC, CMA, etc. that Microsoft is already big enough.
Some of my personal most wanted acquisitions:
- Sega (minus Sammy to make it even cheaper, spinoff the pachinko business as well as Sega's resort business and music label into the new Sammy, and just buy Sega and Atlus and their arcade business and maybe their anime studio, TMS Entertainment, as owning an anime studio could be useful)
- Crystal Dynamics and Eidos Montreal- Acquire them plus their IP's from Embracer, even if it costs 2 or 3x as much as Embracer themselves paid for them
- Koei Tecmo
- Avalanche and IO Interactive (assuming Contraband and Project Dragon are going well)
- Square Enix (this would be a good middle finger to Sony for hatting so many Square games in recent years)
Square Enix can be crossed out of this list. If ActiBlizz is blocked, Square Enix will get blocked as well. Because, you know, final fantasy players might switch to xbox.
CoD, the sticking point of the Activision-Blizzard acquisition, sells like 3x+ more copies per game than mainline Final Fantasy. Don't think Sony would have nearly as much luck convincing the regulators that a Square Enix acquisition by Xbox was anti-consumer, except maybe Japan's regulator (may have to make some concessions to acquire any Japanese publisher or studio with them, such as promising to continue to release on PS and Nintendo platforms).
Last edited by shikamaru317 - on 24 November 2022