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AJNShelton on 16 November 2022
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Farsala said:
SKMBlake said:

Well, common sense, and based on current data. Worse case scenario:

End of 2022: 123-125 million

End of 2023: 138-140 million (+15 million in a Zelda year - again worse case scenario)

End of 2024: 150-152 million (+12 million)

End of 2025: 158-160 million (+7 million)

We know Nintendo history where they only launch a new console when the sales start to tank, which in this case will probably not happen before 2024 the earliest.

If they release a Switch Lite OLED to go with the new Zelda, it can have a positive impact on sales.

160m worst case then? How much of that is from Japan? Europe?

I believe it can reach and even go beyond 34 million in Japan (currently at 27 million) to become the best selling console.