Nintendo Switch shipped 114.33m by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

[AJNShelton]

Farsala said:

Kakadu18 said:

Who thinks it's gonna end up below 135mil?
I'd like to hear some arguments.

I would like to hear the same for 160m plus. Always interesting to me.

Well, common sense, and based on current data. Worse case scenario:

End of 2022: 123-125 million

End of 2023: 138-140 million (+15 million in a Zelda year - again worse case scenario)

End of 2024: 150-152 million (+12 million)

End of 2025: 158-160 million (+7 million)

We know Nintendo history where they only launch a new console when the sales start to tank, which in this case will probably not happen before 2024 the earliest.

If they release a Switch Lite OLED to go with the new Zelda, it can have a positive impact on sales.