Nintendo Switch shipped 114.33m by September 30th. Lifetime sales expectations?

[archbrix]

SKMBlake said:

Sky is rhe limit, but I believe the sky is limited to 160-165 million for now

And I don't understand "under 135 million" as it will probably end the year at around 125 million, so how would it only sell 10 million for the rest of its life ?

Yeah, there isn't even a modicum of a chance that Switch sells less than 135m at this point.  Even if, worst case scenario, Nintendo were to release its true successor next May, Switch would still finish higher than that.

My revised shipment predictions:

End of 2022 - ~124m

End of 2023 - ~141m

End of 2024 - ~153m

End of 2025 - >160m

I maintain that, as long as Switch 2 releases holiday 2024 or later, Switch will finish at #1.