God of War Ragnarok Launch Week and Other Predictions

[Kyuu]

Intrinsic said:

PS5 or no... this is a cross-gen game. This means it would be remiss to only look at the install base of either platform.

Between the PS5/PS4 there is an accumulated base of over 140M. Regardless of overlap, or sales favoring one platform over the other... there is really no reason this game shouldn't or cant sell at least 5M in its first week. And over 10M by January 2023.

Have you not been paying attention to Playstation's financial reports? Software sales have been on a continuous and steep decline for a while (even when compared to pre-pandemic numbers) despite the increase in combined install base. Subscriptions and MAU are declining as well.

Yes, it's starting to look like Ragnarok may break Sony's record, but that would just mean it's over-performing relative to the other big 1st party games this generation. I think Sony's AAA fanbase is particularly sensitive to critical reception. Bundles and PS5 production significantly improving are the two bigger factors. I know a brand new GoW is bigger than GT/Horizon/Spider-Man stand alone expansion of sorts, but it shouldn't be bigger to the point of nearly outselling two of them in a week or two.

PS4 is a dying console and will become irrelevant soon enough. I expect Spider-Man 2 (PS5) to outsell Ragnarok (PS4+PS5) within two years.

Last edited by Kyuu - on 12 November 2022