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Simple:  How many units do you think GoW Ragnarok will sell in its first week?
My guess is 5mil minimum, but I’m gonna go bold with 5.7mil. That being said, I wouldn’t be entirely surprised if sales exceeded 6.5mil.

Some first week sales reference points:

GoW 2018:  3.1mil

Spider-Man:  3.3mil

TLoUp2:  “>4mil”

UPDATE:

GoWR sold 5.1mil in its first week, becoming the best launch week for a PS exclusive ever. 5-5.49mil was the most common prediction range, so well done, people. Particular praise goes to BraLoD, who predicted the exact sales number of 5.1mil. He is a god amongst men. Pun intended.

Source:
https://www.vgchartz.com/article/455540/god-of-war-ragnarok-sales-top-51-million-units-in-1st-week-sets-1st-party-playstation-record/

Feel free to continue predictions for GoWR:  Lifetime sales, sales by the end of 2022/2023/etc., time it will take to hit 10mil and 20mil, etc. 

I think GoWR will hit 10mil by the end of 2022. I’m not sure how strong word of mouth has been, as I’m avoiding almost all conversation about GoWR until I beat it, but if word of mouth is very strong, I think it can hit 20mil by end of 2023/early 2024. Sales by end of 2026:  28-30mil (hopefully even more).

Last edited by pitzy272 - on 24 November 2022