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Kakadu18 said:

Nintendo Switch shipment in Japan in the July-September quarter were 1.01mil.
Famitsu has it from July 4th to October 2nd at 1.161.839 units. Way overtracked especially when also including the MyNintendostore sales that Famitsu doesn't track.
Nintendo's total shipment to Japan is 26.96mil, to which Famitsu is closer than Media Create.

It is not overtracking. Just leftover shipments being sold. Nintendo and retailers always kept a certain amount of supply in stores, but now they both have agreed that sales are slowing so smaller shipments are sent.