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eva01beserk said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

I believe Switch software sales will only decline gradually YoY for the next several years.  While next year is likely to be the last FY with the release of a 10m+ first party seller, third party titles continue to increase in both quantity and quality.  Nintendo will continue to release small and medium titles for the next several years and third party sales will stay high.

Doubtful. I just don't see a world in wich Nintendo puts its fate in the hand of third party's. Nintendos consoles will live and die by their first party offerings. 

It's not putting it's fate in the hand of third party's.  The Switch is already wildly successful.  It doesn't need third party games to drive hardware, because hardware is already selling great.  However, now that Switch has a large install base, it's time for third party games to make them a lot of profit.  

That is actually the standard Nintendo model of one of their successful systems.  First party software drives hardware sales during the early years, but then it tapers off and third party sales generate lots of profit in the latter years.