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Torpoleon said:

@trunkswd I agree. It shouldn't be earlier than 2024. Frankly, I feel like March 2024 is too early, given the lineup of games this year and what has so far been announced next year. And like you said, Switch sales are still pretty strong. They shouldn't cut the legs off too soon. I feel like they did that with the DS and suffered for it.

Obviously, I wouldn't expect them to suffer as badly if they did that again with the Switch because they only have one system now, but still. It's hard to imagine them having just one system for a single generation and for that system to only manage 3DS-level sales at this point. Like Sony, if Nintendo keeps just one system per generation, I feel like they are poised to basically always have a 100 million selling console.

I wonder if Holiday 2024 is going to be too soon. Still hoping for Late 2025. Maybe launch in September 2025 to coincide with the 40th anniversary of Super Mario Bros. Launch with a new 2D Mario and Mario Kart and then having Pokemon Gen 10 in November 2025 (also playable on the Switch 1 similar to how Gold & Silver were for GBC but could be played on GB). Animal Crossing in early 2026 (around the series' 25th anniversary), Smash Bros. during the holidays. 3D Mario and BW remakes by ILCA in Late 2027. Legends: Kyurem in 2028. Zelda would probably be 2029 and Gen 11 as well.

One thing's for sure: the next Nintendo system is not launching with a brand new open world Zelda.

I think late 2025 is too late. Cuz like what first party games would they have coming out that final year? I feel like sales in 2025 would really start dipping if they kept the Switch going through that Summer or into the Fall.

I'm sure 3D Mario will be a launch game on Switch 2. After this year there will already be 5 Pokemon games on Switch and even though they pump Pokemon games out like crazy these days I feel like it'd make more sense to have the next game come out during the first year of Switch 2 (actually I could see the next Pokemon be a cross gen game considering those games don't push the technical side of things and I'm sure they'd like to take advantage of a 150m+ user base. So if it's cross gen they aren't gonna wait a full 3 years for the next Pokemon I doubt. Stuff like Mario 2D and DK and Prime 4 will probably come out late 2023 or early 2024 on Switch. After that maybe Nintendo just has some smaller and some handheld franchises they bring to the Switch to close out that last like half year or so before the next system comes out.

Holiday 2024 or Spring 2025 seems just right. 3D Mario, MK9, and Pokemon in the first 6 months of Switch 2.

Anyway, all I know is we got at least two more years of Switch focus.