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It's almost impossible that Switch won't pass DS in Japan now. Switch should be at least 27.7m by end of the year. That leaves only 5.3m to go to hit DS numbers of 33.00m.

Switch will very likely sell around 4 million next year. If next year it drops a million from this year, selling ~3.8m, it'll only have 1.5m to do from the start of 2024 onward.
If we say Switch will be replaced Holiday 2024, as it is unlikely to be replaced sooner than that, Switch would probably hit the DS's 33m right as the successor comes out. Leaving its entire post-life period in record territory.

Switch will sell at least 34m in Japan, and there is a decent chance it will top 35m.