JWeinCom said:
We've seen really successful systems followed up with duds before. The Vita was nearly as bad as the Wii U. PS3 was a pretty big drop off from the PS2. Not a Wii U failure, but a definite misstep. 3DS could have gone down as a huge flop, but Nintendo salvaged it with an aggressive price cut. It's really not that hard to fuck up a system launch. Lots can go wrong. 599 US Dollars, always on, surprise launch on Saturnday, etc. And it's an industry that's changing pretty quick. I really couldn't put a number on it, because as most humans are, I am terribly at probability. That's why casinos are so successful. If it happened, I'd be very surprised, but not shocked. Obviously though I'm hoping Nintendo the next system will be a success. |
PS3 and 3DS levels of underpeforming are doable, Wii U and Vita though...
Nintendo has the monopoly over 2 markets, the handheld market and Japanese market. This will prevent them to bomb. If with pitiful software sales PS5 will sell over 5 million there, anything I mean ANYTHING Nintendo releases there is a safe 10 million plus simply because there is nothing else left to buy
I honestly can't see Nintendo selling anything less than 50 million next gen even if they drop their next console quickly (4 years like the Wii U), it would need a brutal and unpredictable changing on gaming landscape that completely crash the market.
