Slownenberg on 08 September 2022
Switch looking like it should hit 21m to 21.5m this year, putting it at 123m total. Sets Switch up well for getting to 140m next year. If Switch 2 launches holiday 2024 Switch should still be able to get to 150m by end of 2024. Then it's all about how much it can sell post-life and how long Nintendo produces it to see if it can pass PS2. If Switch 2 doesn't launch until Spring 2025 though Switch should hit 160m.
The only Switch cliff is when the successor comes out. Nintendo has plenty of tricks up their sleeve (HW price cuts, SW price cuts, plenty more games to make, hell maybe even one more HW model who knows) if they so choose.
