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ssk said:

For example, here are the prediction for the releases of this week :

Title Hardware Publisher Release_Date COMG_Sales Famitsu_FW_Pred
Earth Defense Force 6 PS4 D3 Publisher 2022-08-25 96 63638
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance NSW Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 60 51006
SD Gundam: Battle Alliance PS4 Bandai Namco 2022-08-25 24 15910

Fairly close for EDF, underestimated by 5k

13k overestimated for SD Gundam Switch and 4k underestimated for SD Gundam PS4. 

Might want to separate 1st party/Nintendo titles from 3rd parties if your formula doesn't take that into account.