yo33331 said:
Switch actually exploded in the end of 2019, but yeah, I agree, it's possible, although I see it more and more unlikely, since the PS4&XB1 gen actually did worse than PS3&360, and with that gen XBSX making better sales than XB1, I can't see PS5 doing better than PS4, therefore it's explosion can be 18-20M at max in a peak year which in turn would not be enough to surpass the switch. |
If the pandemic had not hit, odds are PS5 sales would've been considerably higher so far, and XB Series S and X would be considerably lower. Not necessarily PS4 high, or XB One low, but not what they are today. How much more production TSMC could've pumped out over the PS4 peak, even without the pandemic, is hard to say.
The big questions are how long before the PS5 hardware demand is met and exceeded to the point that in store purchases aren't a hassle, and how long do people remain truly scared of covid and avoid outdoor activities?
The longer it takes Sony to solve the PS5 hardware stock problem, the lesser the increase in sales will be later on. More and more people will buy the more available XB Series hardware, even if they want an X and have to settle for an S. Switch may not be the same type of console experience, but in a situation like this, where people want console like gaming and can't get them, with Switch being a proven hot item, some will be tempted to try it out.
The last chance Sony will have would be a PS5 Slim, but that's pushing it at 3-4 years into the gen. A PS5 Pro will only give a minor boost if it arrives.
