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Kakadu18 on 05 August 2022
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Agente42 said:
Kakadu18 said:

Good news! XC3's openings should 100% be over 300k. It's a voucher game. XCDE while being 2000 yen cheaper in 2020 had a 50% digital share. The only voucher game with the same price as XC3 was in 2019 Astral Chain which had a digital share of over 60%. Now years later digital is higher than in 2019. XC3 definitely has a digital of over 60%. And that's including the Special Edition. On ComG XCDE's Special Edition had a 50% share. While that was definitely not the case in all of Japan it still may indicate a high SE share which might be similar with XC3.

Add to that the 40-60% sell through and the first week shipment might be close to 400k.

JRPGs with a very high price point that are voucher games definitely always have a very high digital share. The same happened with Fire Emblem: Three Houses.

voucher, special edition. Maybe surpass 200k FW. 

Let's assume the special edition is at 20k. That makes 133k physical sold first week. Digital is definitely higher than it was with XCDE, which was at over 50% because XC3 is more expensive physically and since we can safely assume that digital is generally higher now than than in 2020.

That means there is no maybe.