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Mar1217 said:
Olivernintentoal said:

I was guessing over 140k for Xenoblade, but digital is probably much higher than for Xenoblade 2.

Prolly a bit but moreso, the Limited Edition is also only sold on My Nintendo Store which prolly ends up as another good boost.

I'd say, first week sales adding those two variables would add up to over 150K at least.

Good progression for the series. Though, Worldwide numbers are more important since that's in the west where Xenoblade does best.

Good news! XC3's openings should 100% be over 300k. It's a voucher game. XCDE while being 2000 yen cheaper in 2020 had a 50% digital share. The only voucher game with the same price as XC3 was in 2019 Astral Chain which had a digital share of over 60%. Now years later digital is higher than in 2019. XC3 definitely has a digital of over 60%. And that's including the Special Edition. On ComG XCDE's Special Edition had a 50% share. While that was definitely not the case in all of Japan it still may indicate a high SE share which might be similar with XC3.

Add to that the 40-60% sell through and the first week shipment might be close to 400k.

JRPGs with a very high price point that are voucher games definitely always have a very high digital share. The same happened with Fire Emblem: Three Houses.