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Honestly I always disliked that people predict something while we have no clue whats going to happen next year.

Their are so many 'if' 'can' 'may' possibilities.

If Nintendo comes with a newer version or a new console it will have a huge influence on next year sales.

Can Nintendo ship 4 million consoles?

May some particular game release next year. New mainline DQ game for example exclusive to the Switch.

Can their be a significant price cut.