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archbrix on 22 July 2022
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yo33331 said:
Kakadu18 said:

115mil at the end of 2022? The 100-102mil at the end of 2021 was quite close to the actual result but this end of 2022 prediction was anything but realistic.
That drop off would be similar to the drop that the DS had when the 3DS released. Expecting that not only without a new console actually launching but also with a new model launching is quite frankly ridiculous.
That's like expecting the holiday season to be the weakest of the year.

Yes. This was if 2021 finished with 100M and 2022 did 15M (the low side of my prediction last year with 18M being the high side but only if the conditions were met - price cut not present and shortages of PS5 and XBSX fixed - cuz I think this plays a role of the Switch sales as well.) Now with the shortages still in full power my prediction for this year is 18 to 20m which with the 102M by 2021 end is finishing aroudn 120-122M with this year end.

Unless there are some massive downward adjustments from VGC for Switch sales, ~123m is likely for the system by December 31st:

~109.5m at the end of June + 3.5m (minimum) for Q2 + ~10m for Q3 = 123m by year's end.  My prediction for Nintendo's financials ending Dec 31st is ~125m shipped.