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Shatts on 22 July 2022
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yo33331 said:
peachbuggy said:

You've literally quoted me with something on the exact same post i've already seen because it's literally on the same page! How is this moving the conversation on?

To help this go back on topic i say and you can quote me on this that 2022 Switch sales will be at least 200k higher than 2019 in Jp. Nice and easy for you. If you disagree and think 2019 will beat 2022 then i'm happy to do an avatar control bet with you. However, i'm not giving you an easy option. The bet is literally 2019 v. 2022.

I note that 2019 had a mighty week 46-year end, however, vs. 2022 it likely to be looking at making up a 500k+ deficit.

I've now added some things to my post that you just qouted, go and see, it's about my predictions in general.

As for you prediction, okay, fine. Everyone is free to give whatever they predictions they want or think of.

I don't think 2022 will make more than 4.5M in japan. My prediction for this year in japan is anything between 4 and 4.5M

I am not saying 2019 will beat 2022. I am saying that 2022 can finish equally to 2019 ~ 4.5M or lower.

Now you are trying to get me saying that 2019 will be better 100%. I am not saying that. (2022 can finish weaker than 2019 but it can also be equal to 2019)

But in my opinion it won't be stronger than 2019 when all is finished and done.

I am just quoting curl-6 that by year's end 2022 won't be 50% ahead and that 2022 won't finish better than 2019. (I am not sure if some hundreds of units have to count or not for example if it finishes 4510 or something like that)

But yeah your 200k higher prediction is enough of a gap. I think 2022 won't reach this 4.7M you are giving.

18m at the highest, hmmm I think that is a little too low. Even Nintendo is predicting a 21m this fiscal year and companies typically lowball to make it look like they're succeeding more towards investors. Obviously we probs aren't talking about fiscal years so it could slightly be different, but concerning Japan I don't think it would be lower than 2019. You talked about the decline of sales, and I agree. 6th year already, global economic recession, weak yen, etc. But Splatoon and Pokemon are extremely popular compared to like Metroid in Japan. There's just no way they will flop especially since it's for kids, EVEN if the game sucks, they wouldn't care like us core gamers.